Obama? N. Korea? Fake News? Bettors wager on what Trump will say in his State of the Union
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#MeTooCongress is planning to make a statement at President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union Address. Veuer’s Chandra Lanier has the story.
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People around the world are curious to know what President Trump will say in his first State of the Union address next week (he spoke to a joint session of Congress last year, but that’s not technically the same thing). And users on the site PredictIt are willing to wager on what they think Trump will and won’t mention in his speech on Tuesday.Â
The prediction market allows people to buy and sell shares in the potential outcomes of various future events.Â
Will Trump mention North Korea in his speech? The likelihood is about 77%, according to the PredictIt market.Â
Will he mention Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer? The market on a shoutout to “Cryin’ Chuck” is only 23%. Similarly, only 22% of bettors are putting their money behind a reference to former president Barack Obama.Â
A fake news mention is a little better favored, with 32% of traders betting on at least one use of the term in Trump’s address.Â
The speech will not be postponed, according to 99% of traders and the heaviest betting on viewership is for an audience of fewer than 42.4 million people.Â
Rep. Jackie Speier: I hope women and men wear black to State of the Union
More: Full text of President Trump’s first address to Congress
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