The discovery of the New World screwworm fly in the United States this week is threatening to further disrupt an already strained cattle business at a moment when many ranchers are also contending with a severe drought.
The United States herd is at its smallest level in 75 years, even as consumer demand for beef continues to grow. That has driven live cattle prices — and beef prices — higher, which normally would encourage ranchers to begin rebuilding their herds or prompt new ranchers to enter the business. Drought conditions across several states have led to a shortage of grass for grazing, forcing ranchers to sell some of their animals sooner.
“We have a lot of things happening all at once,” said David Anderson, a livestock market economist at Texas AM University.
The average price for a pound of ground beef is $6.90, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, a 32 percent increase from two years ago. Last month, the Agriculture Department forecast beef prices would rise 12.1 percent in 2026.
Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/06/business/screwworm-flies-drought-cattle.html