Week 12 college football winners and losers: Michigan, TCU survive close calls; Tennessee stumbles
Two kicks: one with nine seconds left, one with zeroes on the clock. Just one miss would’ve rewritten this year’s predictable College Football Playoff picture; had both gone awry, the playoff race would’ve imploded into chaos just steps from the finish line of the regular season.
No team in the Bowl Subdivision is more adept at winning close games than No. 4 TCU, which has mounted an out-of-nowhere playoff charge with unshakeable confidence in Sonny Dykes’ offensive scheme and a seemingly unstoppable run of late-game heroics.
Down 28-20 to Baylor with under seven minutes left, the Horned Frogs drove 90 yards to draw within 28-26 but missed the two-point conversion. After getting a stop on the Bears’ ensuing possession, TCU marched 45 yards to set up the game-winning field goal from 40 yards as time expired.
TCU has spent this entire season on the brink — seven of eight Big 12 wins and eight of 10 wins against FBS competition have come by 10 or fewer points, including memorable comeback victories against Oklahoma State, No. 17 Kansas State and the Bears.
But every win brings the Horned Frogs one step closer to the playoff. TCU can complete the most unexpected berth in the format’s history with wins against Iowa State next Saturday and in the likely rematch with Kansas State in the conference championship game.
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Another team currently in the top four of the playoff rankings, No. 3 Michigan, was pushed to the limit for the first time this season.
Illinois had coughed up the Big Ten West lead with two losses in a row but stepped up as underdogs against the Wolverines, taking a 17-10 lead into the fourth quarter before Michigan kicker Jake Moody secured All-America honors for the second consecutive season with three field goals in the final 15 minutes, the last with nine seconds remaining.
BiG LOSS:Michigan star RB Blake Corum departs early with injury
MAJOR MATCHUPS:Scores and analysis from every Top 25 games in Week 12
a memorable 48-45 shootout against No. 16 UCLA to earn at least a share of the Pac-12 regular season crown and a spot in the conference championship game. At quarterback, Caleb Williams threw for 470 yards with two touchdowns and might have taken over the lead in the Heisman Trophy race. Then there was No. 5 Tennessee’s loss to South Carolina, which opens up an even more obvious door for USC to enter and remain in the top four of the playoff rankings. With two more wins and a 12-1 finish, the Trojans will be impossible to keep out of the national semifinals.
Clemson
With all due respect to the RedHawks, who have as many wins as the Hurricanes since the start of last season, Clemson routinely makes Miami (Fla.) look like Miami (Ohio). Including Saturday’s 40-10 win, the past four meetings between the pair have gone 196-30 in the Tigers’ favor, helpfully illustrating the gargantuan gap separating the best program in the ACC from one sitting somewhere in the bottom half of the pack. In addition to keeping Clemson in the mix for the playoff, the win marked another solid start for DJ Uiagalelei, who threw for 227 yards, ran for a team-high 89 yards and was responsible for three scores.
Ohio State outlasts Maryland to stay unbeaten
Iowa
For all the laughs had the expense of Iowa’s offense, which came into the weekend ranked 128th in the FBS in yards per game and 130th in yards per play, the Hawkeyes now stand within one win of another Big Ten West crown after beating Minnesota 13-10 on a late field goal. The offense is terrible; the defense continues to be the best in the country. With a rivalry victory next Saturday against woeful Nebraska, Iowa will advance to face Ohio State or Michigan in the conference championship game.
Notre Dame
Losses to Marshall and Stanford threatened to engulf Notre Dame’s season and cast a negative spotlight on coach Marcus Freeman just six games into his tenure. With very little fanfare, however, the Fighting Irish have spent more than a month among the hottest teams in the Bowl Subdivision and enter the regular-season finale against No. 6 Southern California in range of a New Year’s Six bowl berth. Saturday’s 44-0 shutout of Boston College continues a run of strong play that really began with a 45-32 win against No. 11 North Carolina on Sept. 24.
suffered an apparent lower-body injury late in the game with the Gamecocks ahead by 25 points.Tennessee’s playoff hopes end with loss to South Carolina
North Carolina
If still a long shot, UNC had a genuine chance of reaching the playoff with a very narrow blueprint: win out, beating Clemson along the way, while Tennessee and the Pac-12 champion added a second loss. Despite leading 17-0 at the break, the Tar Heels lost 21-17 to Georgia Tech and are knocked out of the playoff conversation, though a New Year’s Six bowl remains a possibility. To get into one of the major bowls, UNC needs to beat Clemson or lose while the Tigers get into the national semifinals, which would give the Tar Heels the ACC slot in the Orange Bowl.
Central Florida
Losing 17-14 to Navy is bad news for the No. 18 Knights and potentially worse news for the American, which was scheduled to send another champion to the New Year’s Six but could now lose out on that access-bowl bid to a one-loss or two-loss team from the Sun Belt. The loss isn’t necessarily fatal: UCF can still get into the American championship game depending on the result of next weekend’s game between No. 22 Tulane and No. 21 Cincinnati. But the three-loss Knights could beat South Florida next Saturday, beat one of the Green Wave or Bearcats and still get squeezed of the New Year’s Six out by No. 23 Coastal Carolina, for example, should the Chanticleers finish with just one loss.
Florida
Inconsistency wasn’t unexpected in coach Billy Napier’s debut. Since beating No. 10 Utah in the season opener, Florida has alternated between hot streaks and losing streaks, seemingly landing somewhere in the middle of the SEC after last week’s obliteration of South Carolina. Then what should we make of the Gators’ 31-24 loss to Vanderbilt? No matter how you might try to write it off — that this is Napier’s first year, that the Commodores have been improving, that every week is unpredictable given the early stage of this rebuilding project, that the Gators basically gave the win away with multiple careless errors — there’s simply no excuse for Florida to lose to this game, even if Vanderbilt has turned a corner under coach Clark Lea.