N.F.L. Week 6 Predictions: Our Picks for Each Game

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2), 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Dolphins +4.5 | Total: 45.5

The injuries keep piling up for the Dolphins, who have now lost two quarterbacks to concussions. Tyreek Hill has an injured foot, one starting cornerback is out and the other is questionable. The line for the game sat at 3 points as of Wednesday, but that is likely to move once the injury list is finalized.

The Vikings are sitting on a 4-1 record, but a few of those wins involved them struggling mightily against some pretty bad teams. Minnesota has underperformed its market expectation and is 1-4 against the spread. Pick: Dolphins +4.5

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3), 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Saints +1.5 | Total: 43.5

Saints tight end Taysom Hill ran for three touchdowns and threw for a fourth in a win over the Seahawks last week, and he joined Alvin Kamara with more than 100 rushing yards. But Kamara also led the team with 91 receiving yards on 6 catches, a big uptick from his slow start with Jameis Winston under center this season.

The Bengals’ defense is a far cry from the Seahawks’, however: No opponent has scored more than 23 points, and all three of Cincinnati’s losses have been by a field goal or less. Pick: Bengals -1.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4), 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Steelers +8.5 | Total: 44

After Pittsburgh was trounced by the Bills on Sunday, one-way action on Tampa Bay moved the line on this game from 6.5 to as many as 9 points as of Wednesday. Somewhere along the way, there has been buyback on the Steelers, as the line has fluctuated and continues to be priced differently across the market.

Last week, as 14-point underdogs the Steelers failed to cover the largest point spread of the season (and the largest in their team’s history). This week, Pittsburgh doesn’t get nearly that many points, but it may not need them. They’re up against the Buccaneers, who have only passed for seven touchdowns all season. Pick: Steelers +8.5

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/13/sports/football/nfl-week-6-predictions-our-picks-for-each-game.html