“The emergence of a large number of new cases in Italy has materially increased the risk of a sharp drop in consumer and business confidence in Europe, and potentially North America too if more cases are confirmed there in the coming days,” Mark Haefele, the chief investment officer at UBS’s global wealth management operations, said in an investment report.
President Trump, traveling in New Delhi on Tuesday, joked with business leaders that their investments in the United States had made them a lot of money “except for yesterday,” noting the market drop, according to a pool report. Mentioning the coronavirus outbreak, he said, “We think we’re in very good shape in the United States.”
Officials at the Federal Reserve and within the Trump administration are watching the coronavirus situation closely, although the central bank’s main tool for stoking growth — lowering interest rates — might not help much if factories are not producing goods and supply chains are disrupted by quarantines.
The growing outbreaks of the virus in Europe, Asia and the Middle East have stoked fears that its spread will be difficult to contain, and market analysts in recent days have issued new warnings that the outbreak could drag down economies around the globe.
Economists at JPMorgan Chase wrote that they expected global growth to slow to a 1 percent annual pace in the first three months of the year, which would be the weakest quarter of the economic expansion that is now more than a decade long. In the United States, the general estimate for first-quarter domestic growth has slipped.
Markets around the globe have been affected this week.
Germany’s DAX and Britain’s FTSE 100 each fell more than 1 percent on Tuesday, a day after European markets had their worst drop since 2016.
Shares also fell in most markets in Asia, led by Japan, which was closed for a holiday on Monday. The Nikkei 225 index tumbled more than 3.3 percent on Tuesday, although most other Asian markets fell at a much slower pace.
Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/25/business/stock-markets-covid-19.html