U.S. employers added 156,000 jobs in September, a decent gain that reflects a steady economy but also a sign that hiring has slowed from its robust pace last year.
The unemployment rate ticked up to five per cent from 4.9 per cent, the Labor Department said Friday, but mostly for a positive reason: More Americans felt confident enough to start looking for work, though not all of them found jobs. As a result, more people were counted as unemployed.
Job growth has averaged 178,000 a month so far this year, down from last year’s pace of 229,000. Still, hiring at this year’s level is enough to lower the unemployment rate over time. Economists have expected the pace of job growth to slow as the supply of unemployed workers declines.
“On balance this report should keep the Federal Reserve on track toward a rate hike by December independent of other risks that still need to be evaluated like the election,” said Scotiabank economist Derek Holt in a commentary.
After seven years of pinning that rate at a record low near zero to try to spur more borrowing and spending, the Fed raised its rate modestly in December. It has not acted since.
Friday’s report also comes a month before voters will decide a presidential election in which the two major nominees have sketched out wildly conflicting views of the economy’s health and what should be done to stimulate its growth.
In September, average hourly pay rose six cents to $25.79 US and is now up 2.6 per cent from a year ago. That’s better than the gains for most of the seven-year economic recovery, during which pay has increased at a tepid pace of about two per cent a year. The pay increases, modest as they are, suggest that many employers are being forced to pay more to attract workers.
Yet wage gains are still lagging behind the roughly 3.5 per cent pace that’s consistent with a healthy economy.
Nearly all the net job gains occurred in the services industries, including higher-paying services such as management and technical consulting, accountants, and computer networking.
Manufacturers’ struggles continue
Manufacturers shed jobs for the second month in a row, cutting 13,000. Manufacturers have struggled for the past 18 months as businesses have cut back on their spending on machinery and other equipment. Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, has focused his economic proposals on restoring manufacturing jobs.
Last month, construction added 23,000 positions, retail 22,000. Employers added 15,000 jobs in a category that includes restaurants, hotels and casinos, its slowest gain since May. Hiring also slowed in the education and health sectors.
Recent data suggest that the economy is picking up after a weak start to the year, though growth is unlikely to accelerate very much.
Consumer spending was flat in August, the weakest showing in five months. And factories have struggled as businesses have put off investing in new machinery, computers and other equipment.
Still, a recent private survey found that manufacturing expanded in September after shrinking in August. Orders for factory goods jumped, suggesting that output may rise further.
Good holiday season expected
Consumers also appear increasingly confident about the economy, which could stimulate a rebound in spending. Consumer confidence reached a nine-year high last month.
Retailers are expecting robust spending for the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation projects that holiday spending will rise 3.6 per cent this year from last year. That’s better than last year’s gain and slightly above the 3.4 per cent average since the Great Recession officially ended in 2009.
The economy expanded at just a tepid 1.1 per cent annual pace in the first six months of the year. Still, economists have forecast that growth accelerated to a 2.5 per cent to 3 per cent annualized pace in the July-September quarter.
The slower growth hasn’t led employers to cut back on staffing. Applications for unemployment benefits, a proxy for layoffs, fell on average last month to a 43-year low.
Article source: http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/united-states-unemployment-1.3796011?cmp=rss